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It sort of depends: How good you are, how hard you work, how many opportunities you take.
It's insanely hard. Start with taking the next step and go from there.
Put it this way, Hussey scored maybe 10k runs at 45+ at first class level before he got his chance. If you're 16+ you probably would want to be in the Premier cricket system already.I played a grade for my local club and averaged 30-40 with the bat. i am just saying if i worked really hard......i am sure not everyone aspires to play international cricket, so i got a better chance than i expected.
Dave, Essex have laid out the pathway here
http://www.essexcricket.org.uk/community/district-cricket/
http://www.essexcricket.org.uk/emerging-players-programme/
http://www.essexcricket.org.uk/team/essex-academy/
Not all counties run districts anymore so many go from school/club level straight to CAG (county age group) squad. Most counties then seem to run an EPP (Emerging Player Programme) which takes the 'best' of the CAG players for extra sessions. This then leads to the Academy programme and for minor counties their EPP might feed into a local 1st class county's Academy programme. So lots of steps (or chances to 'find your level') whilst still a 'junior'.
Once out of the junior ranks and into adult cricket it tends to be the ECB's Premier League clubs, Minor County, 2nd XI and then 1st XI cricket with the impression that this was harder to break into than (say) Australian Grade cricket but I think nowadays that is less the case.